Friday, August 31, 2012

Boston College Preview

Hello All,

I realized that, once again, it is time to break down an actual matchup.

(Gone this year will be the predictions. I don't think anyone really cared.)

Here's the problem: I have no fucking clue who will do what in the first game this year.

Jacory out, Morris in.
I have never been less sure of what is going to transpire in a season.

Think about this: Miami is replacing its QB1, best running back, two best receivers, and best defender.

I am confident the production will be filled by someone, but I have no clue who. That's the beauty of this year's team and maybe the scariest for opponents: no one knows where we are attacking from.

You will hear this used as a negative from the national media, that this team is unproven. I recognize that there will be head scratching moments and probably some dumb losses; such is the life of a college football team relying on underclassmen.

However, unproven does not mean untalented. This team CLEARLY has talent. They are bigger, faster and stronger than they were last season, and last season they lost 6 games by a combined 31 points. One more touchdown a game, or one better defensive stand, or one WHATEVER per game, and this team easily could have been playing for a BCS spot.

So sure, the floor of this team might be 4-8. But the ceiling is 9-3.

Do I know who will do what against BC? Hell no I do not.

And quite frankly, after the last 4 years, that ain't a bad thing.

Because when you replace all those guys off a 6-6 team, what have you really lost?

Go Canes. Beat BC.

Thursday, August 30, 2012

The Everyman's Guide to the 2012 Miami Hurricanes


Hello All,

I was on the phone with Papa Stein last night and gave him the following warning about this year’s ‘Canes: “You’re probably not going to know who 75% of the guys are.”

His response was something like “no shit, you haven’t written shit about the team in a while. Get your lazy ass on it so that I have a cheat sheet during the game.”

Well then.
Consider this the casual fan’s primer to this year’s Miami Hurricanes.

QB

Guys you should know: Stephen Morris, Ryan Williams

Morris is QB1 and, while untested, should be solid. In the limited time he has gotten he has proved to be a competitor with a strong arm and a feisty attitude.  Threat to run as well as throw, although Michael Vick he is not.

Williams will be the backup. He is accurate, although his throws to the sidelines and down the field leave a little to be desired. He is best when on the run, as evidenced by his roots as a shotgun quarterback.

Freshmen Gray Crow and Preston Dewey will serve as the third string / practice squad guys; hopefully, neither will be needed and both can redshirt.

Main Question: Can Morris avoid the big turnover?

 Morris has a little bit of gunslinger in him. This is good, because it means he isn’t afraid to test the defense and make throws in to tight spots. It is bad because sometimes gunslingers have a habit of taking undue risks (see: Favre, Brett). Whether this team succeeds or not will be in large part based on whether they can use the entire field on offense. There are no superstars on this squad like a Lamar Miller or Leonard Hankerson. You can win without, but you have to be able to wage guerilla warfare at times.  Jacory Harris was a very solid QB1 last year  but was unable to exploit certain parts of the field and route trees because of a limited arm. This is not the issue with Morris; his issue is that we do not know how his decision making will look against defenses designed specifically to stop him.

Morris must learn that a check down is not always a bad thing. His killer instinct will come in handy and ultimately make him an effective college quarterback. He does have to learn to harness it, however, and learn that sometimes the best play is the dumpoff to the running back.

RB

Guys you should know: Mike James, Duke Johnson, Eduardo Clements, Maurice Hagens

Can Johnson and James carry the 'Canes?
These three will open the season as the main three ball carriers. James is a workhorse back capable of great production; at worst he is reliable. Clements is the jack of all trades who is best used on third down, as he has great ability to catch out of the backfield. Johnson is the wild card, the “space player” so en vogue in the NFL these days (think Darren Sproles). He is the most exciting recruit to enter Miami on offense since Frank Gore.Hagens is the fullback. At some point this season, youngsters Dallas Crawford and Danny Dillard could see their numbers called.

Main Question: How do you replace Lamar Miller?

Miller was, without doubt, a stud. He had homerun ability and could be counted on to take care of the football. He did, however, have his limitations. A big percentage of his yards were picked up in huge bursts, meaning that there were also times he struggled to establish himself. He was an able receiver, although he was not used much in the passing game (part of this can be related back to Jacory’s limitations). He was not the goal line back.

This is all a long way of saying that, while the only back on the roster that can rival Miller’s burst is Johnson, this running game will be ok anyway.

James is underrated and coming off of an injury plagued year (turf toe); the last time he was healthy, in 2010, he averaged over 6 yards per carry. He runs behind his pads and takes on defenders for extra yards. Johnson will be moved around; he most likely will see time in the backfield, coming out for screens and swings, returning kicks and punts, and in the slot. It is easy to imagine James pounding away on defenses and wearing guys down, softening them up to set up Johnson for homerun plays. If both guys play up to their potential, they could be used similarly to the way the Cowboys used to use Marion Barber and Felix Jones.

The X-factor is Clements. A lot of people will knock him as a jock of all trades, master of none. Instead, I see a player that consistently made plays on 3rd down last season and keeps the pressure on defenses.

While none of these guys is likely to crack Miller’s overall numbers from last season, I think they all can play a role in collectively replacing his production. They certainly are all talented enough to do so.

WR

Guys you should know: Allen Hurns, Phillip Dorsett, Rashawn Scott, Kendon Johnkins, Malcolm Lewis

Hurns is the leading returning receiver. He was great in the early half of last season but wore down with some injuries in the second half. Dorsett is the most improved player on the roster according to Golden and has sub 4.4 speed…he is probably the fastest man on the team; Dorsett will also be a primary return man. Scott was the star of the spring and could emerge as the go to guy, as he has a great blend of size and speed. However, he is only in his second year and has little in-game experience. Kendall Thompkins and Davon Johnson (I combined them above) are both fifth year seniors who have done little so far. Both apparently had big training camps and are looking for one last chance at making an impact. Lewis is the true freshman most likely to make an impact from day one, probably in the slot. True freshmen Robert Lockhart and Herb Waters both showed flashes of elite ability during training camp, but both need more time with the playbook. They could pay dividends later in the season. Jontavious Carter and D’Mauri Jones will both likely redshirt.

Main Question: Is there a go-to guy here?

For the last three seasons, Miami has had a receiver step up as the primary threat (Leonard Hankerson, Tommy Streeter). These guys provided security blankets for the quarterback.

Much like at running back, it remains to be seen whether any of these guys are up to the task this season. Hurns seems the most likely, but Scott and Dorsett will be heard from.

I think the group as a whole will see a lot of ups and downs. This is a very inexperienced group, and therefore there will be inconsistencies on a week to week basis. The hope is that when one guy is down, another will step up, and thus the emergence of one primary guy will not be necessary.

Personally, I would prefer one guy assert his claim to Alpha Dog status. It would make Morris’ job a hell of a lot easier.

TE

Guys you should know: Asante Cleveland, Clive Walford, Dyron Dye

Cleveland showed flashes as a freshman in 2010 but largely disappeared last year. Walford was the primary starting tight end last year and has a ton of potential. Dye is a defensive line convert who will most likely be used primarily as a blocker. David Perry and Corey White seem like longshots to contribute much this season.

Main Question: Who is going to break out?

My bet is that Cleveland and Walford will both have big games this year. Cleveland is certainly the more physically imposing (6’5”, 265 lbs) of the two and has improved his blocking. Walford is smaller (6’4”, 250 lbs.) but more athletic. Both are natural athletes and can be weapons in the seam. Jedd Fisch has been adamant that he will use the tight ends more; unless one emerges as clearly superior, I see that production being spread around fairly equally. We all know a tight end is a young quarterback’s best friend, so if one or both emerge as legitimate options this offense could really take off.

For fans of Miami who are used to Franks, Shockey, Winslow and Olsen, it is about time we found another tight end that can consistently make other teams pay.

OL

Guys you should know: Brandon Linder, Jon Feliciano, Shane McDermott, Malcolm Bunche, Ereck Flowers, Jermaine Johnson, Seantrel Henderson*

The first five will be the opening day starters. Linder is the best, but true freshman Flowers might be the most talented. Actually, Henderson is probably the most talented, but also the one who seems to constantly have a distraction surrounding him (whether his fault or not). He missed most of training camp so will start with the practice squad and hopefully work his way back up as the season goes. He is allegedly in fantastic shape from the summer, so to get him back going would be a nice boost. Bunche is the new left tackle, and a monster at that (6’7”, 320 lbs); in fact, that smallest offensive lineman will be McDermott, the new center, who comes in at a mere 6’4”, 290 lbs.

Main Question: Are they tough enough?

Last season, the o-line buckled when it was needed most. Instances of failing to get one pivotal yard against Kansas State and Virginia jump to mind. Last season’s squad lost 6 games by a combined 31 points; it is likely that a stronger o-line could have swung half of those games. This year’s edition certainly looks the part, but that has never been the problem at Miami.

Generally, elite college o-lines have a combined 80-100 combined starts among the starters. This o-line will have 18. To overcome this lack of experience, they will just have to be meaner than the guys across the li ne of scrimmage. That was where last year’s more experienced squad failed; the hope is that this generation learned from the mistakes of another.

DE

Guys you should know: Anthony Chickillo, Shayon Green, Kelvin Cain, Dwayne Hoilett, Tyriq McCord, Jelani Hamilton

This is a thin group, and that is scary. This is a position that will always suffer injuries; Hoilett,  Hamilton and McCord are true freshmen that could use a redshirt but might be forced in to major minutes.

Chickillo is the star and a possible future All American. His motor revs high and he gets to the quarterback through sheer will. Green is a coaching staff favorite and a workout warrior that can’t seem to stay healthy. Cain is a converted linebacker who could contribute as a flex rusher.

Main Question: Will they be able to generate pass rush?

A lot of that will depend on the defensive tackle production. If Chickillo and crew see a lot of one-on-one matchups, then the answer is probably yes.  Green will never stop coming when he is in the game, and Cain could be a sleeper. The freshman most likely to make noise this year is Hamilton…he is bigger than the others and very talented. And as we saw last year with Chickillo, this is a position freshmen can play.

DT

Guys you should know: Darius Smith, Curtis Porter, Luther Robinson, Olsen Pierre

This group is either really deep or has nobody at all. The coaches have made the point time and again that nobody has separated from the pack, and that either means everyone is at a high level or they all suck. I am on the record a million times over saying that this is the most important position on the defense and, therefore, perhaps the most important on the team.

The only guy here who has shown so far they have the ability to be a disruptive player is Porter, who seems to always be hurt (he will miss the beginning of this season after an appendectomy). Smith is known as “the plug” and is in much better shape for his junior year. Robinson is surging up the depth chart and could be a starter. Pierre is the wild card; he has beefed up from defensive end weight and has impressed in camp. Freshmen Earl Moore and Dequan Ivery could have roles in the goal line and will be heard from later in the season.

Main Question: Can they occupy all three interior linemen?

If this group is able to consistently chew up the middle three offensive linemen, it will open everything up for the rest of the defense. If both tackles are able to be single blocked, the defense will have a tough go of things. It is no miracle that every great Miami linebacker (with the exception of Sean Spence, which should make Spence even better in your mind) has had a great defensive tackle in front of him. If this group doesn’t get the job done, the impact of the improved linebacking corps will be minimal.

LB

Guys you should know: Denzel Perryman, Ramon Buchanan, Jimmy Gaines, Eddie Johnson, Thurston Armbrister

Perryman is a stud who coaches are saying is further along than Spence was at the same stage. He will be the anchor. Buchanan is back from injury and provides veteran presence. Gaines is versatile and will see time at all three spots. Johnson and Armbrister are battling for the staring SAM spot; both will play, but Johnson is the better physical specimen. Armbrister is an interesting story having come out of nowhere (only other offer: Northern Colorado) and converted from safety.

(Also, close your eyes and guess if a guy named Thurston Armbrister is black or white…you guessed white, right? YOU WERE WRONG)

 Freshman Raphael Kirby was a threat to start but got knocked out with an injury; if he can get healthy by midseason look for him to play a lot. Tyrone Cornelius and Gionni Paul will be big for the special teams.

Main Question: Can they cover an effing tight end?! How about a mobile quarterback?!

You know the scene in “Taken” when Liam Neesen says “I have a very particular set of skills that makes me a nightmare for people like you”?

If you were a quarterback with wheels or a tight end with a pulse for the last ten years, you could have said that to the Miami defense and been right.

 (John Phillips just caught a pass in the flat thrown by a scrambling Reggie Ball)

Aside from the fact that the whole team has to tackle better, the linebackers in particular have to be disciplined and not let stiff white guys run through the middle of the field unchecked. And if they could maybe keep an eye on the quarterback-that-should-be-a-slot-receiver, that would be a plus too.

CB

Guys you should know: Brandon McGee, Thomas Finnie, Tracey Howard, LaDarius Gunter, Antonio Crawford

McGee has apparently risen to the challenge of the coaches and gotten more physical. The book on him has always been that he has all the talent in the world but hasn’t translated it on to the field. Gunter came in from JUCO this spring and locked down the other job, but look for the highly touted Howard to make a run at both guys throughout the season. Howard is very physical and a pure football player….the coaches say their biggest problem right now is getting him to be less handsy with receivers.
(A thousand ‘Canes fans just smiled, because a corner being TOO physical is a welcome problem to have)
Finnie, a sophomore, will be the fourth corner, and Crawford, another true freshman, has impressed this fall. Look for both to contribute on special teams and make a bid for playing time.

Main Question: Can all these new faces produce right away?

Of the 5 guys I listed above, only McGee has legitimate playing time at a high college level. While they are all talented, even the Mike Rumphs and Ed Reeds of the world took their lumps early in their careers (see Fields, Chafie). The reality is that, while the secondary is much more talented this year than last, there will be mistakes made. The hope is that those mistakes are not crippling and the exception rather than the rule.

S

Guys you should know: Vaughn Telemaque, Kacy Rodgers, A.J. Highsmith, Deon Bush, Reyshawn Jenkins

Telemaque enters his 17th season as a starter at safety with more competition than ever. Rodgers has locked down the other starting spot, for now, but Highsmith and the two freshmen, Bush and Jenkins, are going to play a lot as well. Highsmith is limited physically but is a smart football player; Bush and Jenkins bring unlimited upside along with their inexperience.  Having Ray Ray Armstrong would have made this position a strength instead of a question mark.

Main Question: Will they be smarter?

Let's dispel a myth held by too many 'Canes fans: Safeties do not have to be freaks like Sean Taylor to be good. You can win with guys who simply know where to be and the right way to get there. Witness JoJo Nicolas last year: he stopped taking bad routes, learned how to get in position, and as a result had a very solid final season.

Jenkins and Bush are ballhawks, but as with the young corners above, this can lead to bad gambles. Telemaque is a veteran but was TERRIBLE last season; he needs to get back to the form of two years ago. He has the potential to be a Top 100 pick in the next draft if he can. Rodgers and Highsmith have been in the program for a few years now; it is put up or shut up time.

They don’t have to be all world, but if they are going to make mental mistakes, the coaches might as well play Jenkins and Bush, who will make the same mistakes but have brighter futures.

K/P

Guys you should know: Dalton Botts, Jake Wieclaw

Wieclaw has extended his range out to 50+ yards. Botts is the preseason All – ACC punter. This is the strongest position group on the roster.

--  --

Alright Dad, consider yourself primed. Hopefully a few others learned something too.

Friday, August 10, 2012

Burning Up


Hello All,

It is hot out lately. Really hot.

Like, sweat up your boxers while driving hot.

You know that old Kerouac passage? “Burn, burn, burn like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars.” 

Well, in this heat you are actually burning like an effing roman candle.

It is the twilight of the summer. Soon the heat of August will give way to the beauty of September and October, the earnest days of early autumn when the shadows get long and the leaves get pretty and the weather gets perfect.

For a boy from the south, winter is always the most painful time. Everything is gray and white and brown…the colors of summer are nowhere to be found.

(I guess I should say I live in Los Angeles where winter means “it is in the 40s a couple of times and it rains for a few days”. But I’m rolling, people!)

And yet, I wish I could fall asleep and skip these last few weeks wayward weeks of deep summer, because they are all that stands in between me and my college football.

This has been a busier summer than usual for me. Between a job at which I am seeking a promotion, and a move across town that has taken longer to execute than I ever would have thought, and new going-ons in my social life, I have not gotten a chance to write much.

But that does not mean I am not excited.

Remember all those freshman I wrote about in February, and how excited I was?

They are here.

Remember the ‘Canes that scrapped in every game last year, even though it only won half?

They are better and scrappier.

Not everything is peaches and flowers. Remember that NCAA investigation? Somehow, it still has not be wrapped up, and the black cloud still looms.

The ‘Canes will most likely struggle again as those enticing freshman go through their growing pains.

And yet, an imperfect season is damn better than the dog days of August.

So yes, I am excited.

When it comes to the actual product, I have some thoughts.

I think Stephen Morris has the potential to win a Heisman Trophy one day, and will be the next Miami quarterback to get drafted. He is a gym rat and a leader, plays with fire, and has a great arm. The only thing holding him back is his on-field decision making, which can get erratic. And personally, I think that after the season Jacory Harris had last year (minus one game), there is no reason to expect anything but improvement from Morris.

I think that we need new uniforms.

I think that the young skill guys on offense will be impressive, but sporadic. The hope is that the ebbs offset each other and each game some combination of guys will step up. At running back, Mike James is the rock, but Duke Johnson, Eduardo Clements and Dallas Crawford will add sparks. Ditto receiver, where old hat Allen Hurns gets help from Phillip Dorsett, Rashawn Scott, Malcolm Lewis, Robert Lockhart and others.

I think at this point Al Golden would win the presidential election if he threw his hat in as an independent.

I think the defense will swarm behind the leadership of Anthony Chickillo and Denzel Perryman.

I think at least 3 guys will be named to the ACC All- Rookie team, including Duke and Tracey Howard.

I think this team will not finish 5th in the Coastal Division.

I think this team will beat Notre Dame.

I think that at some point this season, this team will block a kick.

Most of all, I think I will never tire of the ‘Canes running through the smoke.

Or Enter Sandman at Lane Stadium.

Or “Hook Em Horns”.

Or Yell Practice.

Or Fight On.

Or drinking a beer at 8am while watching college gameday.

Or the satisfying nap you take before you go out to celebrate a ‘Canes win.

Or taking a full Thursday off so as to not miss a snap of the Miami-Virginia Tech game.

There are hundreds of reasons why I love college football, and why every year is the most exciting year I can remember.

I would write more, but I am afraid I will start sweating. It is, like I said, the dog days.

But they are almost over.